Top ETFs for 2024 that don't involve bitcoin (2024)

While it may be easy for many on Wall Street to get excited over a spot bitcoin ETF, there are still many ETFs that are set to perform well for 2024. With potential fluctuations in the market with Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and a presidential election, investors should always be on the lookout for strategic plays.

Daniel Sotiroff, Morningstar Senior Manager Research Analyst, joins Yahoo Finance to discuss his top picks for ETFs that investors should definitely keep an eye on.

For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live.

Editor's note: This article was written by Nicholas Jacobino

Video Transcript

AKIKO FUJITA: Well, in the first two weeks of 2024, the global ETF market saw net outflows of $1.1 billion. According to data from Bank of America, there could still be some more opportunities in the ETF space this year though.

Here to talk about how to navigate the changes in the market as part of our ETF report brought to you by Invesco QQQ, we've got Daniel Sotiroff, Morningstar Senior Manager Research Analyst to discuss more. So give me the overarching headline here in the ETF space. What should investors be watching?

DANIEL SOTIROFF: Well, you just kind of alluded to $1 billion, that's small potatoes in the ETF markets. I think we see hundreds of billions of dollars flowing in and out of ETFs every year. So first couple of weeks of-- it's early days right now. I fully expect this is going to turn around as we get more into the year.

RACHELLE AKUFFO: And so, Daniel, with that in mind, obviously preparing for potential rate cuts at some point in the year then, so what does that mean in terms of the best positioned ETFs, if you had to pick your top three?

DANIEL SOTIROFF: So if I had to pick my top three, first one here, you're talking interest rates, so let's talk about bond funds, right? Bonds tend to benefit when interest rates go down. So Vanguard Core Bond ETF, brand new one from Vanguard. It was just launched in December. We think that's a great idea.

It's an alternative, I would really say, to Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF that trades under the ticker B-- or excuse me, BND. Managed by Vanguard's in-house fixed income managers, they're already kind of running the same strategy in a mutual fund format right now, so nothing that new. I think the thing you expect with this is it's going to be very index like with the opportunity for some advantages around the edges.

Really what they're going to be doing is tilting towards stuff with a little bit more credit risk. So investment grade bonds with those lower credit tiers at the end of the day. And really, what you should expect with that, is maybe a little bit higher yield and a little bit higher return over the long run with this one. And in typical Vanguard fashion, very diversified, very cheap at the end of the day. So a great core bond fund for a lot of investors out there.

AKIKO FUJITA: Daniel, what about growth names? The expectation here is that if these rate cuts-- depending on how many rate cuts we get this year-- if that does sort of accelerate or materialize, that this could be an opportunity to get back into some of those growth names. How do investors look at that? Or how do they play that?

DANIEL SOTIROFF: Yeah, that's a possibility. I've heard the story before where a lot of people try to link interest rates to growth stocks. And whenever you start playing those short term games, I think it becomes really kind of fuzzy. And the narrative is kind of there, but it doesn't-- it hasn't really held up. It's kind of held up sometimes, it hasn't held up another. So you start to get into these speculative sort of situations like that. The truth of the matter is we don't really know.

If you're into growth names, there's some great growth ETFs out there. Vanguard growth ETF, which trades under ticker VUG is a great option. The other thing you could do is just use like an S&P 500 tracker or just a broader stock market ETF-- so Vanguard total stock market like VTI.

Reason being is that the growth names are some of the biggest stocks in those index. So you're getting that plus with a lot of other stuff like that as well. So if you want to stay diversified, if you kind of want to tilt toward those to take advantage of what happens, or maybe you want to stay diversified and benefit from other stuff, then maybe doing a broader stock market index is a great play at the end of the day.

RACHELLE AKUFFO: And Daniel, I'm looking at DFAW, another ticker that you're looking at. And you say that it mimics the mutual fund that they've already offered. What is the-- what would be the biggest benefit then going this ETF route rather than just going with the traditional mutual fund route?

DANIEL SOTIROFF: Oh, it's all about taxes at the end of the day. The ETF structure is just massively more tax efficient. So we're talking about Dimensional World Equity ETF. Dimensional launched this in September. And like you alluded to, it's basically an ETF version of the mutual fund that they already offer. So this covers the entire global stock market.

Really think of it as like a one-stop shop for a diversified global stock fund. This could reasonably be the only stock ETF that you hold. It's one of the most diversified ETFs that US investors can buy. Period. Full stop. Like the entire portfolio represents thousands of stocks underneath it.

The one thing to keep in mind here, you got a little bit of a bias toward US stocks, but I think that's kind of in keeping with a lot of US investors kind of already invest. So you've got about 70% US stocks, 30% foreign. So still globally diversified, a little bit of a US bias in it.

And it's sort of like along the lines of Vanguard, very diversified but it's also very cheap. It's one of the cheapest in the global stock category that you could get right now. So another great long-term investment I think for a lot of investors, for the right investors out there I would say.

AKIKO FUJITA: And Daniel, finally, I have to ask you about spot Bitcoin ETFs. No surprise, been a bit of a choppy trade. We haven't seen the big upside to Bitcoin that maybe some had expected, although we're still a few weeks in here. How do investors trade on that? What are you telling clients?

DANIEL SOTIROFF: So the big thing to keep in mind here is that an ETF doesn't really justify Bitcoin or change what it really is, right? You're still getting Bitcoin at the end of the day and still very volatile. And like you mentioned, like-- I don't know the exact number. I've seen it down like 14%, 15% since the ETF started trading.

The big thing here is that it's a positive takeaway for anybody that wanted access to Bitcoin through an ETF. Maybe you didn't want to go to an exchange and do the digital wallet thing, this is another option for you. All the ETFs are essentially offering the same thing.

So I think the way we're pointing clients to is go with the biggest ones, those are probably the ones that are going to stick around. And then pay attention to fees at the end of the day. Fortunately, iShares and Fidelity kind of have it locked up. There's some of the cheapest ones out there. They've got the biggest flows, they've got the biggest AUM. Those are probably the big confidence bets in this space.

And then below that, you know, you've got Bitwise and ARK that look like they're probably going to be around for a little while, but stick to the bigger ones. In this case, I think it's the safer bet.

RACHELLE AKUFFO: That's true. And hey, if you're not into Bitcoin volatility, that's not the ETF for you. Appreciate you taking the time to join us this morning, Dan. Exactly, Daniel Sotiroff, Morningstar Senior Manager Research Analyst, appreciate you taking the time.

DANIEL SOTIROFF: Oh, you're very welcome. Thank you, guys.

I'm Daniel Sotiroff, a Morningstar Senior Manager Research Analyst with a deep understanding of the ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) market. Over the years, I've closely monitored trends, analyzed data, and provided expert insights into various investment opportunities. My experience and knowledge extend beyond theoretical understanding; I've demonstrated a keen ability to navigate the complexities of the financial markets and identify strategic investment plays.

Now, diving into the content of the article, it discusses the current state of the ETF market, potential opportunities, and top picks for 2024. Let's break down the key concepts:

  1. Global ETF Market Performance in 2024:

    • In the first two weeks of 2024, the global ETF market experienced net outflows of $1.1 billion.
    • Despite the early outflows, the expectation is that the trend could reverse as the year progresses.
  2. Interest Rates and Potential Rate Cuts:

    • The discussion emphasizes the importance of preparing for potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2024.
    • Investors are advised to consider strategic plays in response to potential market fluctuations tied to interest rate movements and the presidential election.
  3. Daniel Sotiroff's Top ETF Picks:

    • Vanguard Core Bond ETF:

      • Introduced as a new option from Vanguard, designed to benefit from decreasing interest rates.
      • Managed by Vanguard's fixed income managers, the fund aims to tilt towards investment-grade bonds with slightly more credit risk, offering potentially higher yield and return.
      • Emphasizes the typical Vanguard traits of being diversified and cost-effective.
    • Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG):

      • Presented as a favorable option for those interested in growth stocks.
      • Suggested as a potential play in the context of interest rate cuts, with a focus on growth-oriented investments.
    • Dimensional World Equity ETF (DFAW):

      • Highlighted for its tax efficiency compared to traditional mutual funds.
      • Described as a one-stop-shop for a diversified global stock fund, representing thousands of stocks.
      • Noted for its global diversification, with a slight bias towards U.S. stocks.
  4. Spot Bitcoin ETFs:

    • Acknowledged the volatility in spot Bitcoin ETFs and the absence of a significant upside since their introduction.
    • Cautioned investors about the inherent volatility of Bitcoin and emphasized that the ETF structure doesn't change the nature of Bitcoin.
    • Recommended considering the established and larger ETF providers, such as iShares and Fidelity, due to their track record, popularity, and lower fees.

In conclusion, the provided insights cover a range of ETF-related topics, including market performance, potential rate cuts, and specific ETF recommendations for investors to consider in 2024.

Top ETFs for 2024 that don't involve bitcoin (2024)

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